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national CO2 budgets and emission targets
in the ESPM with different framework data

The key framework data

The most important framework data to be decided politically are:

Land-use change CO2 emissions

Since the data base at country level for CO2 emissions from land use changes (LUC) is still very scarce, we are currently distributing a global budget without LUC emissions to countries. To determine the budget to be reserved for netto positive LUC (npLUC) emissions, you can specify a percentage with which the npLUC budget is determined. Currently the annual LUC emissions amount to approx. 5.5 Gt with total emissions of approx. 42 Gt. LUC emissions currently account for around 13% of global emissions. This percentage is one possible approach to determine the npLUC budget.

The following national CO2 budgets are without npLUC and without international shipping and aviation (ISA).

RM Scenario Types 1 - 6

The scenario type type RM-5-rad was used to determine the emission paths and thus the reference values for the largest CO2 emitters. This is characterized by a rapid increase in reduction rates right from the start. Here is a description of the different types of scenarios.

The starting value for determining a plausible rate of change for the first year 2020 is 50% of the rate of change that would result in scenario type RM-6-abs. The value used is specified in the PDFs.

Limitation to the examples shown here

Which combinations of the global budget and overshoot are still paris compatible must be scientifically checked.

Reference values and national CO2 budgets

Weighting population key: 100%

weighting population key: 100%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
extract from the Excel tool
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
Download
Download
13%
Download

 

Weighting population key: 85%

weighting population key: 85%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
extract from the Excel tool
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download

 

Weighting population key: 70%

weighting population key: 70%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
extract from the Excel tool
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download


Weighting population key: 50%

weighting population key: 50%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
extract from the Excel tool
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
Download
Download
13%
Download


Weighting population key: 30%

weighting population key: 30%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
extract from the Excel tool
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download


Weighting population key: 15%

weighting population key: 15%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
extract from the Excel tool
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download


Weighting population key: 0%

weighting population key: 0%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
extract from the Excel tool
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-6%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-12%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download


Results of the tools based on the framework data specified by you

It is possible to make the results available in the ESPM as PDFs based on the framework data you have given and for the country you have chosen.

Here you can download a form for a request Download.