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national CO2 budgets and emission targets
in the ESPM with different framework data

The key framework data

The most important framework data to be decided politically are:

Limitation to the examples shown here

Which combinations of the global budget and overshoot are still Paris compatible must be scientifically checked.This is particularly important with regard to the tipping points in the climate system.

Reference values and national CO2 budgets

Data base: EDGAR (without Land-use change)

EDGAR: Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research - EU Commission

Tool: ESPM (download)

Land-use change and international shipping/aviation CO2 emissions

Since the data base at country level for CO2 emissions from land use changes (LUC) is still very scarce, for the following results we are distributing a global budget without LUC emissions to countries. To determine the budget to be reserved for net positive LUC emissions (npLUC), you can specify a percentage with which the npLUC budget is determined. Currently the annual LUC emissions amount to approx. 5.5 Gt with total emissions of approx. 42 Gt. LUC emissions currently account for around 13% of global emissions. This percentage is one possible approach to determine the remaining npLUC budget.

The EDGAR database used here contains the CO2 emissions for all countries in the world due to the use of fossil fuels and industrial processes. The following national CO2 budgets are therfore without LUC and ISA CO2 emissions (ISA: international shipping and aviation).

RM Scenario Types 1 - 6

The scenario type RM-5-rad was used to determine the emission paths and thus the reference values for the largest CO2 emitters. This is characterized by a rapid increase in reduction rates right from the start. Here is a description of the different RM Scenario Types 1 - 6. The starting value for determining a plausible rate of change for the first year 2020 of the budget period is 50% of the rate of change that would result in scenario type RM-6-abs. The value used is specified in the PDFs.

The following tables are structured as follows:


Weighting population key: 100%

weighting population key: 100%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download

Weighting population key: 85%

weighting population key: 85%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download

Weighting population key: 70%

weighting population key: 70%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download

Weighting population key: 50%

weighting population key: 50%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
Download
13%
Download

Weighting population key: 30%

weighting population key: 30%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download

Weighting population key: 15%

weighting population key: 15%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download

Weighting population key: 0%

weighting population key: 0%
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
npLUC
results for the largest emitters
overview of EU27 results
420 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
570 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
680 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-5%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
-10%
10%
Download
13%
Download
16%
Download
800 Gt
0%
10%
Download
13%
Download

Data base: European Environment Agency (EEA; all CO2 emissions)

A few selected results for the EU are calculated using our general tool for determining emission paths that meet a certain budget (download):

 
global CO2 budgets
2018 - 2100
NNE
weighting population key
overview of EU27 results
overview of EU28 results
420 Gt
-4%
50%
Download
-8%
Download
frame data german SRU
800 Gt
0%
100%
Download
Download

 

Data base: German Advisory Council on the Environment / Sachverständigenrat für Umweltfragen (SRU)

global CO2 budgets from 2018 on
EU28
Germany
580 Gt
Download
Download
800 Gt
Download
Download

 


Results of the tools based on the framework data specified by you