calculation global scenarios RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin   RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs calculation overshoot
constant annual reduction rate exponential increase of annual reduction rates is assumed linear increase of annual reduction rates is assumed quadratic formula for annual reduction rates (RR_t; see formula below) radical formula for annual reduction rates (RR_t; see formula below) constant annual reducktion amount RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs FI RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs FI
            factor smooth transition 2020/2021     0.5                                      
formula cumulative budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt cumulative budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt   280 cumulative budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt     280 cumulative budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt     280 cumulative budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt     280 cumulative budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt     280 cumulative budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt   280 global CO2 budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt  
input scenario sum emissions 2020 - 2100 scenario sum emissions 2020 - 2100   280   scenario sum emissions 2020 - 2100     280 scenario sum emissions 2020 - 2100     280 scenario sum emissions 2020 - 2100     280 scenario sum emissions 2020 - 2100     280 scenario sum emissions 2020 - 2100   280 280  
free parameter E_min in Gt E_min in Gt     -3.67   E_min in Gt       -3.67 E_min in Gt       -3.67 E_min in Gt         -3.67 E_min in Gt         -3.67 E_min in Gt       -3.67        
scenario emissions in year 2100 in Gt scenario emissions in year 2100 in Gt -3.67   scenario emissions in year 2100 in Gt     -3.67 scenario emissions in year 2100 in Gt     -3.67 scenario emissions in year 2100 in Gt     -3.67 scenario emissions in year 2100 in Gt     -3.67 scenario emissions in year 2100 in Gt   -3.67                            
sheet "goal seek" RR_20 info       -8.76%   RR_20; input value sheet "goal seek" -1.50% RR_20; input value sheet "goal seek" -1.50% RR_20; input value sheet "goal seek" -1.50% RR_20; input value sheet "goal seek" -1.50% RR_20 info -3.72% global cumulative CO2 emissions start 2020 overshoot
free parameter "goal seek"     -8.76% free parameter "goal seek" 16.29% free parameter "goal seek" -0.78% free parameter "goal seek" -0.0006 free parameter "goal seek" -0.0265 free parameter "goal seek" -1.36    
TV in Gt       1.7 TV in Gt         1.20 TV in Gt         1.20 TV in Gt         1.20 TV in Gt         1.20           Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt              
  world population
in thousands
year CO2 emissions
in Gt
absolute
change
vs. prev. year
in Gt
relative
change
vs. prev.
year
  t / capita CO2 emissions
in Gt
absolute
change
vs. prev. year
in Gt
relative
change
vs. prev.
year
  t / capita CO2 emissions
in Gt
absolute
change
vs. prev. year
in Gt
relative
change
vs. prev.
year
  t / capita CO2 emissions
in Gt
absolute
change
vs. prev. year
in Gt
relative
change
vs. prev.
year
  t / capita CO2 emissions
in Gt
absolute
change
vs. prev. year
in Gt
relative
change
vs. prev.
year
  t / capita CO2 emissions
in Gt
absolute
change
vs. prev. year
in Gt
relative
change
vs. prev.
year
  t / capita                             global cumulative CO2 emissions
    t see formula below
E
t
Et - Et-1 RRt const resp. actual see formula below
E
t
Et - Et-1 see formal below actual RRt see formula below
E
t
Et - Et-1 see formal below actual RRt see formula below
E
t
Et - Et-1 see formula below actual RRt see formula below
E
t
Et - Et-1 see formula below actual RRt see formula below
E
t
Et - Et-1 actual RRt RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs FI RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs FI RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs FI
1 7,713,468 2019 36.66       4.75 36.66         4.75 36.66         4.75 36.66         4.75 36.66         4.75 36.66       4.75                             Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt Gt
2 7,794,799 2020 33.45 -3.21 -8.76% 4.29 36.11 -0.55 -1.50% -1.50% 4.63 36.11 -0.55 -1.50% -1.50% 4.63 36.11 -0.55 -1.50% -1.50% 4.63 36.11 -0.55 -1.50% -1.50% 4.63 35.30 -1.36 -3.72% 4.53 33 36 36 36 36 35 36               by the end of 2010 1,930[1] 1,930 1,930 1,930 1,930 1,930 1,930
3 7,874,966 2021 30.52 -2.93 -8.76% 3.88 35.48 -0.63 -1.74% -1.74% 4.51 35.28 -0.82 -2.28% -2.28% 4.48 35.54 -0.56 -1.56% -1.56% 4.51 34.89 -1.22 -3.37% -3.37% 4.43 33.93 -1.36 -3.86% 4.31 64 72 71 72 71 69 70     2011 - 2017 excl. FOLU CO2 252 252 252 252 252 252 252
4 7,953,953 2022 27.85 -2.67 -8.76% 3.50 34.76 -0.72 -2.03% -2.03% 4.37 34.20 -1.08 -3.06% -3.06% 4.30 34.92 -0.62 -1.75% -1.75% 4.39 33.23 -1.66 -4.75% -4.75% 4.18 32.57 -1.36 -4.02% 4.09 92 106 106 107 104 102 103     2011 - 2017 FOLU CO2 39 39 39 39 39 39 39
5 8,031,800 2023 25.41 -2.44 -8.76% 3.16 33.94 -0.82 -2.36% -2.36% 4.23 32.89 -1.32 -3.85% -3.85% 4.09 34.20 -0.72 -2.06% -2.06% 4.26 31.34 -1.89 -5.69% -5.69% 3.90 31.21 -1.36 -4.18% 3.89 117 140 138 141 136 133 133     2018 - 2019 excl. FOLU/ISA 73 73 73 73 73 73 73
6 8,108,605 2024 23.18 -2.22 -8.76% 2.86 33.01 -0.93 -2.74% -2.74% 4.07 31.37 -1.52 -4.63% -4.63% 3.87 33.35 -0.85 -2.49% -2.49% 4.11 29.32 -2.02 -6.46% -6.46% 3.62 29.85 -1.36 -4.37% 3.68 140 173 170 174 165 163 162     FOLU/ISA 2018 - 2100 67 67 67 67 67 67 67
7 8,184,437 2025 21.15 -2.03 -8.76% 2.58 31.96 -1.05 -3.19% -3.19% 3.90 29.67 -1.70 -5.41% -5.41% 3.62 32.33 -1.02 -3.05% -3.05% 3.95 27.23 -2.09 -7.12% -7.12% 3.33 28.48 -1.36 -4.57% 3.48 162 205 200 206 192 191 188     2020 - 2100 excl. FOLU/ISA 280 280 280 280 280 280 279
8 8,259,277 2026 19.30 -1.85 -8.76% 2.34 30.77 -1.19 -3.71% -3.71% 3.73 27.83 -1.84 -6.19% -6.19% 3.37 31.12 -1.21 -3.74% -3.74% 3.77 25.13 -2.10 -7.71% -7.71% 3.04 27.12 -1.36 -4.78% 3.28 181 236 227 238 217 218 212     2,641 2,641 2,641 2,641 2,641 2,641 2,640
9 8,333,078 2027 17.61 -1.69 -8.76% 2.11 29.44 -1.33 -4.31% -4.31% 3.53 25.89 -1.94 -6.98% -6.98% 3.11 29.71 -1.41 -4.55% -4.55% 3.57 23.06 -2.07 -8.26% -8.26% 2.77 25.76 -1.36 -5.02% 3.09 198 265 253 267 240 244 234     total cumulative global anthropogenic emissions of CO2 by 2100 in Gt
10 8,405,863 2028 16.07 -1.54 -8.76% 1.91 27.97 -1.48 -5.02% -5.02% 3.33 23.88 -2.01 -7.76% -7.76% 2.84 28.08 -1.63 -5.48% -5.48% 3.34 21.04 -2.02 -8.76% -8.76% 2.50 24.40 -1.36 -5.29% 2.90 215 293 277 295 261 269 255   14 16  
11 8,477,661 2029 14.66 -1.41 -8.76% 1.73 26.33 -1.63 -5.83% -5.83% 3.11 21.84 -2.04 -8.54% -8.54% 2.58 26.25 -1.83 -6.53% -6.53% 3.10 19.10 -1.94 -9.23% -9.23% 2.25 23.03 -1.36 -5.59% 2.72 229 320 299 322 280 292 273   40 19 42 1 12  
12 8,548,487 2030 13.38 -1.28 -8.76% 1.56 24.55 -1.79 -6.78% -6.78% 2.87 19.80 -2.04 -9.32% -9.32% 2.32 24.22 -2.02 -7.71% -7.71% 2.83 17.25 -1.85 -9.67% -9.67% 2.02 21.67 -1.36 -5.92% 2.54 243 344 319 346 298 313 290   65 39 66 18 34 10
13 8,618,349 2031 12.21 -1.17 -8.76% 1.42 22.61 -1.94 -7.89% -7.89% 2.62 17.80 -2.00 -10.10% -10.10% 2.07 22.04 -2.18 -9.02% -9.02% 2.56 15.51 -1.74 -10.09% -10.09% 1.80 20.31 -1.36 -6.29% 2.36 255 367 337 368 313 334 305   87 57 88 33 54 25
14 8,687,228 2032 11.14 -1.07 -8.76% 1.28 20.54 -2.07 -9.17% -9.17% 2.36 15.87 -1.94 -10.89% -10.89% 1.83 19.73 -2.30 -10.45% -10.45% 2.27 13.88 -1.63 -10.49% -10.49% 1.60 18.95 -1.36 -6.71% 2.18 266 387 352 388 327 353 319   108 73 108 47 73 39
15 8,755,083 2033 10.16 -0.98 -8.76% 1.16 18.35 -2.19 -10.67% -10.67% 2.10 14.01 -1.85 -11.67% -11.67% 1.60 17.37 -2.37 -12.00% -12.00% 1.98 12.37 -1.51 -10.87% -10.87% 1.41 17.58 -1.36 -7.19% 2.01 276 406 366 405 339 370 331   126 87 125 60 90 51
16 8,821,863 2034 9.27 -0.89 -8.76% 1.05 16.07 -2.28 -12.41% -12.41% 1.82 12.27 -1.74 -12.45% -12.45% 1.39 14.99 -2.38 -13.68% -13.68% 1.70 10.98 -1.39 -11.24% -11.24% 1.25 16.22 -1.36 -7.75% 1.84 285 422 379 420 350 386 342 6 142 99 140 71 107 62
17 8,887,524 2035 8.46 -0.81 -8.76% 0.95 13.75 -2.32 -14.43% -14.43% 1.55 10.65 -1.62 -13.23% -13.23% 1.20 12.67 -2.32 -15.48% -15.48% 1.43 9.71 -1.27 -11.59% -11.59% 1.09 14.86 -1.36 -8.40% 1.67 294 436 389 433 360 401 352 14 156 110 153 80 121 72
18 8,952,049 2036 7.72 -0.74 -8.76% 0.86 11.44 -2.31 -16.78% -16.78% 1.28 9.15 -1.49 -14.02% -14.02% 1.02 10.46 -2.21 -17.41% -17.41% 1.17 8.55 -1.16 -11.93% -11.93% 0.96 13.50 -1.36 -9.17% 1.51 302 447 399 443 369 415 360 22 167 119 163 89 135 80
19 9,015,438 2037 7.04 -0.68 -8.76% 0.78 9.21 -2.23 -19.51% -19.51% 1.02 7.80 -1.35 -14.80% -14.80% 0.87 8.43 -2.04 -19.46% -19.46% 0.93 7.50 -1.05 -12.26% -12.26% 0.83 12.13 -1.36 -10.10% 1.35 309 456 406 452 376 427 368 29 176 127 172 96 147 88
20 9,077,694 2038 6.43 -0.62 -8.76% 0.71 7.12 -2.09 -22.69% -22.69% 0.78 6.58 -1.22 -15.58% -15.58% 0.73 6.60 -1.82 -21.64% -21.64% 0.73 6.56 -0.94 -12.59% -12.59% 0.72 10.77 -1.36 -11.23% 1.19 315 463 413 458 383 438 375 35 184 133 178 103 158 95
21 9,138,828 2039 5.86 -0.56 -8.76% 0.64 5.24 -1.88 -26.39% -26.39% 0.57 5.51 -1.08 -16.36% -16.36% 0.60 5.02 -1.58 -23.93% -23.93% 0.55 5.71 -0.85 -12.90% -12.90% 0.63 9.41 -1.36 -12.65% 1.03 321 469 418 463 388 447 381 41 189 139 183 109 167 101
22 9,198,847 2040 5.35 -0.51 -8.76% 0.58 3.63 -1.61 -30.68% -30.68% 0.40 4.56 -0.94 -17.15% -17.15% 0.50 3.70 -1.32 -26.36% -26.36% 0.40 4.96 -0.75 -13.20% -13.20% 0.54 8.05 -1.36 -14.48% 0.87 326 472 423 467 393 455 386 46 192 143 187 114 175 106
23 9,257,746 2041 4.88 -0.47 -8.76% 0.53 2.34 -1.30 -35.68% -35.68% 0.25 3.74 -0.82 -17.93% -17.93% 0.40 2.63 -1.07 -28.91% -28.91% 0.28 4.29 -0.67 -13.50% -13.50% 0.46 6.68 -1.36 -16.93% 0.72 331 475 427 469 398 462 391 51 195 147 190 118 182 111
24 9,315,508 2042 4.45 -0.43 -8.76% 0.48 1.37 -0.97 -41.49% -41.49% 0.15 3.04 -0.70 -18.71% -18.71% 0.33 1.80 -0.83 -31.58% -31.58% 0.19 3.70 -0.59 -13.79% -13.79% 0.40 5.32 -1.36 -20.39% 0.57 336 476 430 471 401 467 395 56 196 150 192 122 187 115
25 9,372,118 2043 4.06 -0.39 -8.76% 0.43 0.71 -0.66 -48.25% -48.25% 0.08 2.45 -0.59 -19.49% -19.49% 0.26 1.18 -0.62 -34.38% -34.38% 0.13 3.18 -0.52 -14.07% -14.07% 0.34 3.96 -1.36 -25.61% 0.42 340 477 432 472 405 471 398 60 197 152 193 125 191 118 ####### ####### ####### ####### #######
26 9,427,555 2044 3.71 -0.36 -8.76% 0.39 0.05 -0.66 -56.11% -93.25% 0.01 1.95 -0.50 -20.27% -20.27% 0.21 0.56 -0.62 -37.30% -52.38% 0.06 2.72 -0.46 -14.35% -14.35% 0.29 2.60 -1.36 -34.42% 0.28 343 477 434 473 407 474 401 64 197 154 193 128 194 122
27 9,481,803 2045 3.38 -0.32 -8.76% 0.36 -0.61 -0.66 -65.26% -0.06 1.54 -0.41 -21.06% -21.06% 0.16 -0.06 -0.62 -40.34% -0.01 2.32 -0.40 -14.62% -14.62% 0.25 1.23 -1.36 -52.49% 0.13 347 476 436 473 410 475 404 67 196 156 193 130 195 124
28 9,534,855 2046 3.09 -0.30 -8.76% 0.32 -1.27 -0.66 -75.89% -0.13 1.21 -0.34 -21.84% -21.84% 0.13 -0.67 -0.62 -43.51% -0.07 1.98 -0.35 -14.88% -14.88% 0.21 -0.13 -1.36 -0.01 350 475 437 472 412 475 406 70 195 157 193 132 195 127
29 9,586,708 2047 2.82 -0.27 -8.76% 0.29 -1.93 -0.66 -88.25% -0.20 0.93 -0.27 -22.62% -22.62% 0.10 -1.29 -0.62 -46.80% -0.13 1.68 -0.30 -15.14% -15.14% 0.18 -1.49 -1.36 -0.16 353 473 438 471 413 473 408 73 193 158 191 134 193 129
30 9,637,358 2048 2.57 -0.25 -8.76% 0.27 -2.59 -0.66 -102.62% -0.27 0.66 -0.27 -23.40% -29.23% 0.07 -1.91 -0.62 -50.22% -0.20 1.42 -0.26 -15.40% -15.40% 0.15 -2.85 -1.36 -0.30 355 470 438 469 415 470 410 75 191 159 189 135 191 130
31 9,686,800 2049 2.35 -0.23 -8.76% 0.24 -3.25 -0.66 -119.34% -0.34 0.39 -0.27 -24.19% -41.31% 0.04 -2.53 -0.62 -53.77% -0.26 1.20 -0.22 -15.65% -15.65% 0.12 -3.67 -0.82 -0.38 358 467 439 467 416 467 412 78 187 159 187 136 187 132
32 9,735,034 2050 2.14 -0.21 -8.76% 0.22 -3.67 -0.41 -138.78% -0.38 0.11 -0.27 -24.97% -70.39% 0.01 -3.15 -0.62 -57.43% -0.32 0.98 -0.22 -15.89% -18.55% 0.10 -3.67 0.00 -0.38 360 463 439 463 417 463 413 80 184 159 184 137 183 133
33 9,782,062 2051 1.95 -0.19 -8.76% 0.20 -3.67 0.00 -161.38% -0.37 -0.16 -0.27 -25.75% -0.02 -3.67 -0.52 -61.22% -0.38 0.75 -0.22 -16.13% -22.77% 0.08 -3.67 0.00 -0.38 362 460 439 460 418 459 414 82 180 159 180 138 180 134
34 9,827,885 2052 1.78 -0.17 -8.76% 0.18 -3.67 0.00 -187.67% -0.37 -0.43 -0.27 -26.53% -0.04 -3.67 0.00 -65.14% -0.37 0.53 -0.22 -16.37% -29.49% 0.05 -3.67 0.00 -0.37 363 456 438 456 418 456 415 84 176 159 176 138 176 135
35 9,872,500 2053 1.63 -0.16 -8.76% 0.16 -3.67 0.00 -218.24% -0.37 -0.70 -0.27 -27.31% -0.07 -3.67 0.00 -69.18% -0.37 0.31 -0.22 -16.61% -41.82% 0.03 -3.67 0.00 -0.37 365 452 438 452 419 452 416 85 173 158 173 139 172 136
36 9,915,902 2054 1.47 -0.16 -9.60% 0.15 -3.67 0.00 -253.80% -0.37 -0.98 -0.27 -28.10% -0.10 -3.67 0.00 -73.34% -0.37 0.09 -0.22 -16.84% -71.88% 0.01 -3.67 0.00 -0.37 367 449 437 449 419 448 416 87 169 157 169 139 169 136
37 9,958,094 2055 1.31 -0.16 -10.62% 0.13 -3.67 0.00 -295.14% -0.37 -1.25 -0.27 -28.88% -0.13 -3.67 0.00 -77.63% -0.37 -0.14 -0.22 -17.06% -0.01 -3.67 0.00 -0.37 368 445 435 445 418 445 416 88 165 156 165 139 165 137
38 9,999,078 2056 1.16 -0.16 -11.88% 0.12 -3.67 0.00 -343.22% -0.37 -1.52 -0.27 -29.66% -0.15 -3.67 0.00 -82.04% -0.37 -0.36 -0.22 -17.29% -0.04 -3.67 0.00 -0.37 369 441 434 441 418 441 417 89 162 154 162 138 161 137
39 10,038,871 2057 1.00 -0.16 -13.48% 0.10 -3.67 0.00 -399.12% -0.37 -1.79 -0.27 -30.44% -0.18 -3.67 0.00 -86.58% -0.37 -0.58 -0.22 -17.51% -0.06 -3.67 0.00 -0.37 370 438 432 438 418 437 417 90 158 152 158 138 158 137
40 10,077,505 2058 0.85 -0.16 -15.58% 0.08 -3.67 0.00 -464.14% -0.36 -2.07 -0.27 -31.23% -0.21 -3.67 0.00 -91.24% -0.36 -0.80 -0.22 -17.73% -0.08 -3.67 0.00 -0.36 371 434 430 434 417 434 416 91 154 150 154 137 154 137
41 10,115,020 2059 0.69 -0.16 -18.45% 0.07 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.36 -2.34 -0.27 -32.01% -0.23 -3.67 0.00 -96.03% -0.36 -1.02 -0.22 -17.94% -0.10 -3.67 0.00 -0.36 372 430 428 430 416 430 416 92 151 148 151 136 150 136
42 10,151,449 2060 0.53 -0.16 -22.63% 0.05 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.36 -2.61 -0.27 -32.79% -0.26 -3.67 0.00 -100.93% -0.36 -1.25 -0.22 -18.15% -0.12 -3.67 0.00 -0.36 372 427 425 427 414 426 415 92 147 145 147 135 147 136
43 10,186,812 2061 0.38 -0.16 -29.24% 0.04 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.36 -2.88 -0.27 -33.57% -0.28 -3.67 0.00 -105.97% -0.36 -1.47 -0.22 -18.36% -0.14 -3.67 0.00 -0.36 372 423 422 423 413 423 415 93 143 142 143 133 143 135
44 10,221,118 2062 0.22 -0.16 -41.33% 0.02 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.36 -3.16 -0.27 -34.36% -0.31 -3.67 0.00 -111.13% -0.36 -1.69 -0.22 -18.57% -0.17 -3.67 0.00 -0.36 373 419 419 419 411 419 414 93 140 139 140 132 139 134
45 10,254,383 2063 0.07 -0.16 -70.45% 0.01 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.36 -3.43 -0.27 -35.14% -0.33 -3.67 0.00 -116.41% -0.36 -1.91 -0.22 -18.78% -0.19 -3.67 0.00 -0.36 373 416 416 416 409 415 413 93 136 136 136 130 136 133
46 10,286,616 2064 -0.09 -0.16 -0.01 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.36 -3.67 -0.24 -35.92% -0.36 -3.67 0.00 -121.82% -0.36 -2.14 -0.22 -18.98% -0.21 -3.67 0.00 -0.36 373 412 412 412 407 412 411 93 132 132 132 127 132 132
47 10,317,830 2065 -0.25 -0.16 -0.02 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.36 -3.67 0.00 -36.70% -0.36 -3.67 0.00 -127.35% -0.36 -2.36 -0.22 -19.18% -0.23 -3.67 0.00 -0.36 372 408 408 408 405 408 410 93 129 129 129 125 128 130
48 10,348,042 2066 -0.40 -0.16 -0.04 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -37.48% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -133.00% -0.35 -2.58 -0.22 -19.37% -0.25 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 372 405 405 405 402 404 408 92 125 125 125 123 125 129
49 10,377,268 2067 -0.56 -0.16 -0.05 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -38.27% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -138.78% -0.35 -2.80 -0.22 -19.57% -0.27 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 371 401 401 401 400 401 407 92 121 121 121 120 121 127
50 10,405,520 2068 -0.71 -0.16 -0.07 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -39.05% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -144.69% -0.35 -3.02 -0.22 -19.76% -0.29 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 371 397 397 397 396 397 404 91 118 118 118 117 117 125
51 10,432,810 2069 -0.87 -0.16 -0.08 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -39.83% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -150.71% -0.35 -3.25 -0.22 -19.95% -0.31 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 370 394 394 394 393 393 402 90 114 114 114 113 114 123
52 10,459,153 2070 -1.03 -0.16 -0.10 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -40.61% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -156.87% -0.35 -3.47 -0.22 -20.14% -0.33 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 369 390 390 390 390 390 400 89 110 110 110 110 110 120
53 10,484,559 2071 -1.18 -0.16 -0.11 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -41.40% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -163.14% -0.35 -3.67 -0.20 -20.33% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 368 386 386 386 386 386 397 88 107 107 107 106 106 118
54 10,509,046 2072 -1.34 -0.16 -0.13 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -42.18% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -169.54% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -20.52% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 366 383 383 383 382 382 395 86 103 103 103 103 103 115
55 10,532,630 2073 -1.49 -0.16 -0.14 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -42.96% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -176.07% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -20.70% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 365 379 379 379 379 379 392 85 99 99 99 99 99 112
56 10,555,327 2074 -1.65 -0.16 -0.16 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -43.74% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -182.72% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -20.88% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 363 375 375 375 375 375 389 83 96 96 96 95 95 109
57 10,577,156 2075 -1.81 -0.16 -0.17 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -44.52% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -189.49% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -21.06% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 361 372 372 372 371 371 385 82 92 92 92 92 92 105
58 10,598,132 2076 -1.96 -0.16 -0.19 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -45.31% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -196.39% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -21.24% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 359 368 368 368 368 368 382 80 88 88 88 88 88 102
59 10,618,268 2077 -2.12 -0.16 -0.20 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -46.09% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -203.41% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -21.42% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 357 364 364 364 364 364 378 77 85 85 85 84 84 98
60 10,637,574 2078 -2.27 -0.16 -0.21 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -46.87% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -210.56% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -21.59% -0.35 -3.67 0.00 -0.35 355 361 361 361 360 360 374 75 81 81 81 81 81 95
61 10,656,054 2079 -2.43 -0.16 -0.23 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -47.65% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -217.83% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -21.77% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 353 357 357 357 357 357 370 73 77 77 77 77 77 90
62 10,673,719 2080 -2.59 -0.16 -0.24 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -48.44% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -225.23% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -21.94% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 350 353 353 353 353 353 366 70 74 73 74 73 73 86
63 10,690,577 2081 -2.74 -0.16 -0.26 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -49.22% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -232.75% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -22.11% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 347 350 350 350 349 349 362 67 70 70 70 70 70 82
64 10,706,644 2082 -2.90 -0.16 -0.27 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -50.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -240.39% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -22.28% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 344 346 346 346 346 346 357 65 66 66 66 66 66 78
65 10,721,951 2083 -3.05 -0.16 -0.28 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -50.78% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -248.16% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -22.45% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 341 342 342 342 342 342 353 61 63 62 63 62 62 73
66 10,736,533 2084 -3.21 -0.16 -0.30 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -51.56% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -256.05% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -22.62% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 338 339 339 339 338 338 349 58 59 59 59 59 58 69
67 10,750,417 2085 -3.37 -0.16 -0.31 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -52.35% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -264.07% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -22.78% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 335 335 335 335 335 335 344 55 55 55 55 55 55 65
68 10,763,615 2086 -3.52 -0.16 -0.33 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -53.13% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -272.21% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -22.95% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 331 331 331 331 331 331 340 51 52 51 52 51 51 60
69 10,776,129 2087 -3.67 -0.14 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -53.91% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -280.48% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -23.11% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 327 328 328 328 327 327 336 48 48 48 48 48 47 56
70 10,787,962 2088 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -54.69% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -288.87% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -23.27% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 324 324 324 324 324 324 331 44 44 44 44 44 44 51
71 10,799,112 2089 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -55.48% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -297.38% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -23.43% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 320 320 320 320 320 320 327 40 41 40 41 40 40 47
72 10,809,576 2090 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -56.26% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -306.02% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -23.59% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 316 317 317 317 316 316 323 37 37 37 37 37 36 43
73 10,819,350 2091 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -57.04% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -314.78% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -23.75% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 313 313 313 313 313 313 318 33 33 33 33 33 33 38
74 10,828,433 2092 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -57.82% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -323.67% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -23.91% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 309 309 309 309 309 309 314 29 30 29 29 29 29 34
75 10,836,817 2093 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -58.61% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -332.68% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -24.06% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 305 306 306 306 305 305 310 26 26 26 26 26 25 30
76 10,844,497 2094 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -59.39% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -341.82% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -24.22% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 302 302 302 302 302 302 305 22 22 22 22 22 22 25
77 10,851,461 2095 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -60.17% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -351.08% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -24.37% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 298 298 298 298 298 298 301 18 19 18 18 18 18 21
78 10,857,694 2096 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -60.95% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -360.46% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -24.53% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 294 295 295 295 294 294 296 15 15 15 15 15 14 17
79 10,863,179 2097 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -61.73% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -369.97% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -24.68% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 291 291 291 291 291 291 292 11 11 11 11 11 11 12
80 10,867,894 2098 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -62.52% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -379.60% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -24.83% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 287 287 287 287 287 287 288 7 8 7 7 7 7 8
81 10,871,811 2099 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -63.30% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -389.36% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -24.98% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 283 284 284 284 283 283 283 4 4 4 4 4 3 4
82 10,874,902 2100 -3.67 0.00   -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -500.00% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -64.08% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -399.24% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -25.13% -0.34 -3.67 0.00 -0.34 280 280 280 280 280 280 279 0 0 0 0      
  280         280           280           280           280           280         maximum overshoot 93 197 159 193 139 195 137
-93 global negative emissions in Gt -197 global negative emissions in Gt -159 global negative emissions in Gt -193 global negative emissions in Gt -139 global negative emissions in Gt -195 global negative emissions in Gt average overshoot 62 111 99 110 89 108 92
overshoot in the scenaios left -93 -197 -159 -193 -139 -195 -138
difference 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1
#BEZUG! #BEZUG! #BEZUG! #BEZUG! #BEZUG! ####### ####### ####### ####### ####### ### #BEZUG!

[1]
RM:
lt. IPCC SR15