Determination
of the free parameter in the RM scenarios 2020 - 2100 |
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selected
country: |
EU27 |
weighting P: |
50% |
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target is not met |
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t / capita |
6.60[1] |
global budget in Gt: |
420 |
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input value |
determination via "goal seek" |
target value
of "goal seek" |
target is met |
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RM scenarios: |
RM-1 const |
RM-2 exp |
RM-3 lin |
RM-4 quadr |
RM-5 rad |
RM-6 |
info |
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characteristics of the
scenario |
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RRt const |
RRt exp |
RRt lin |
RRt quadr |
RRt rad |
RA const |
last actual change rate |
average annual change rate last two years |
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A corona effect should not be considered
here. |
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only a negative RR_20 possible |
a positive RR_20 is also
possible
(= increasing emissions after 2019) |
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info |
2 - 5 |
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change rate 2020 (RR20)[2] |
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-9.40% |
-3.00% |
-3.00% |
-3.00% |
-3.00% |
-3.98% |
-4.0% |
-2.7% |
-3.00% |
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initial value[3] |
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-8% |
10% |
-1% |
0 |
0 |
-118 |
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RRt constant |
a |
a |
a |
a |
RA |
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free
parameters are determined by Goal Seek in such a way as that the budget is
adhered to. |
-9.40% |
10.66% |
-0.68609% |
2.03697E+66 |
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-3.77787E+16 |
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-0.00054004 |
-0.02400338 |
-116.93[4] |
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scenario ∑ 2020 - 2100; sheet 'RM' |
Mill. t |
19,286 |
19,286 |
19,286 |
19,286 |
19,286 |
19,286 |
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budget ∑
2020 - 2100; sheet 'base data'[5] |
Mill. t |
19,286 |
19,286 |
19,286 |
19,286 |
19,286 |
19,286 |
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emissions
2100 scenario; sheet 'RM' |
Mill. t |
-293.9 |
-293.9 |
-293.9 |
-293.9 |
-293.9 |
-293.9 |
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minimum emissions 2100; sheet 'base data'[6] |
Mill. t |
-293.9 |
-293.9 |
-293.9 |
-293.9 |
-293.9 |
-293.9 |
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year Emin is achieved |
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2084 |
2054 |
2063 |
2052 |
2071 |
2047 |
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change rate
2030 / 1990 |
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-74% |
-58% |
-63% |
-56% |
-68% |
-57% |
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year minimum positive
emissions |
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2060 |
2045 |
2049 |
2045 |
2053 |
2044 |
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At which level of emissions in
2019 (threshold value; TV)
shall the annual percentage reduction be change into a constant annual
reduction? |
RM 2 - 5: |
102.87 |
Mill. t |
3.50% |
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RM-1: |
126.38 |
Mill. t |
4.30% |
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data macro 'finding budget': |
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Specified emissions target |
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0% |
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Current emissions target |
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0% |
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Specified maximum global budget |
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Gt |
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Current global budget |
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Gt |
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data macro 'finding NNE': |
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Specified emissions target |
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0.0% |
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Current emissions target |
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0.0% |
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Specified max. potential NNE |
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0.0% |
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Current potential NNE |
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0.0% |
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baseline potential NNE |
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0.0% |
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data macro 'finding weighting p.': |
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Specified emissions target |
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0.0% |
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Current emissions target |
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0.0% |
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Minimum or maximum weight P |
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0.0% |
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Current weighting population |
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0.0% |
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baseline weighting population |
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0.0% |
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global per capita |
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country per capita |
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Download a comprehensive
mathematical description of the Regensburg Model Scenario Types: |
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Mathematicel Description RM 1 - 6 |
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data macro 'finding budget': |
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Specified year of emissions
neutrality |
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Current year of emissions neutraltity |
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Specified maximum global budget |
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Gt |
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Current global budget |
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Gt |
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data macro 'finding NNE': |
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Specified year |
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Current year |
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Specified max. potential NNE |
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0.0% |
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Current potential NNE |
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0.0% |
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baseline potential NNE |
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0.0% |
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data macro 'finding weighting p.': |
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Specified emissions target |
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Current emissions target |
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Minimum or maximum weight P |
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0.0% |
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Current weighting population |
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0.0% |
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baseline weighting population |
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0.0% |
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global per capita |
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country per capita |
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